Nacional vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
REN
1 - 5
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2005 |
OLM
2 - 3
NAC
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
DAN
1 - 1
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
PLA
1 - 4
NAC
14%
24%
62%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLM
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
COL
1 - 2
LFC
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
DEF
2 - 0
COL
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
COL
1 - 1
PAY
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
COL
0 - 3
PEÑ
28%
25%
48%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
MWA
56%
25%
20%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |