Libertadores Supercup Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Nacional vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
18.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
1 - 2
NAC
51%
26%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
RAC
1 - 3
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 1
RAC
57%
26%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1993 |
OLI
3 - 0
NAC
45%
30%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 2
OLI
48%
29%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
FLA
2 - 1
CRZ
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
1 - 2
NAC
51%
26%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
BOT
0 - 1
CRZ
45%
29%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1993 |
COL
3 - 3
CRZ
52%
27%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1993 |
CRZ
3 - 0
BOT
52%
27%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |