Nacional vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
14.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 1
FLA
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1991 |
NAC
3 - 0
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1991 |
OLI
3 - 3
NAC
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1991 |
NAC
0 - 3
OLI
53%
26%
21%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1990 |
NAC
0 - 0
EST
63%
24%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
1 - 1
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
SCI
1 - 1
COR
47%
29%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1991 |
COR
2 - 0
SAN
52%
29%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1991 |
COR
1 - 0
CON
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
VAS
0 - 1
COR
58%
25%
18%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |