Nacional vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRO
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
PLA
0 - 0
NAC
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOR
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CER
1 - 2
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
DEF
1 - 1
CER
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
LFC
1 - 0
CER
70%
19%
12%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
CER
2 - 2
FEN
41%
27%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 0
CER
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |