Nacional vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 3
NAC
23%
24%
53%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
REN
71%
18%
10%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
RAC
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 2
NAC
19%
23%
58%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 2
CER
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
MWA
32%
27%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ATE
3 - 1
CER
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CER
2 - 0
DAN
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
CER
76%
16%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |