Nacional vs Cerro CA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
FEN
2 - 2
NAC
21%
25%
55%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOC
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 1
CEN
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
BOC
0 - 1
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CEL
1 - 1
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro CA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 1
PEÑ
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
JUV
4 - 1
CER
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CER
1 - 0
LFC
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PRO
2 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
DEF
2 - 0
CER
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |