Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 2-6
Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
2 - 3
MON
56%
22%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1999 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVS
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
EST
3 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1999 |
CCP
5 - 0
NAC
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 1
CCP
73%
17%
11%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1999 |
CCP
3 - 0
COR
38%
27%
36%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
OLI
2 - 2
CCP
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1999 |
COR
8 - 2
CCP
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |