Nacional vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 0
DEF
52%
25%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GRE
1 - 0
NAC
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
LFC
1 - 0
NAC
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 4
NOB
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
JUV
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CEL
0 - 1
RAC
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
CER
2 - 1
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
2 - 2
LFC
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
REN
3 - 1
CEL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CEL
1 - 5
DEF
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |