Nacional vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CSC
2 - 5
NAC
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2009 |
FEN
0 - 1
NAC
26%
27%
47%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
DAN
0 - 2
NAC
41%
26%
34%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 0
JUN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
CEL
1 - 0
LFC
24%
26%
50%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
CER
1 - 1
CEL
55%
24%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 4
CEL
79%
15%
6%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CEL
0 - 0
MWA
26%
26%
47%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |