Nacional vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
SCI
42%
27%
31%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
JUN
75%
15%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 3
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CER
1 - 2
NAC
25%
25%
50%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
RIV
0 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 1
DAN
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CSC
1 - 1
TAC
52%
26%
23%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
4 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
LFC
0 - 1
CSC
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |