Nacional vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
CSM
1 - 3
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
51%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
LFC
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
CER
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CSC
0 - 0
DAN
28%
27%
46%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
LFC
0 - 1
CSC
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
TAC
1 - 1
CSC
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 1
CSC
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
MWA
2 - 1
CSC
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |