Nacional vs Central Español FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
9.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
5 - 0
ATE
71%
19%
10%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MWA
4 - 0
NAC
29%
26%
44%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
RAC
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
50%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 1
LFC
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Central Español FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 3
PEÑ
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 1
CEN
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CEN
1 - 1
MWA
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CER
1 - 2
CEN
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CEN
0 - 4
DEF
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |