Nacional vs Técnico Universitario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1976 |
UNI
2 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Técnico Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
TEC
79%
12%
8%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |