Nacional vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
3 - 0
BSC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 2
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 0
NAC
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
4 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
5 - 0
BVS
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |