Nacional vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
92.9%
Win probability
6.01
Expected goals
10-0
1.8%
+10
1.8%
9-0
2.9%
10-1
1.5%
+9
4.4%
8-0
4.4%
9-1
2.5%
10-2
0.7%
+8
7.5%
7-0
5.8%
8-1
3.8%
9-2
1.1%
10-3
0.2%
+7
10.9%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
5%
8-2
1.6%
9-3
0.3%
10-4
<0%
+6
13.8%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
5.9%
7-2
2.2%
8-3
0.5%
9-4
0.1%
+5
15.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
2.5%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.1%
9-5
<0%
+4
14.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
0.6%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
4.4%
1.9%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
0.5%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
1.9%
0.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.1%
1-2
0.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
0.6%
0-2
0%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
3-5
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
1 - 0
DAN
99%
1%
0%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
1 - 3
NAC
12%
24%
64%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1984 |
DAN
0 - 1
NAC
3%
27%
70%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
57%
25%
18%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
OCT
2 - 2
NAC
48%
23%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 0
DAN
61%
19%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
NAC
2%
27%
70%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1984 |
NAC
3 - 1
OCT
61%
20%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 0
CRI
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 36 | 37 | 0 |