Nacional vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 0
TEC
86%
9%
5%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAL
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 1
UNI
69%
19%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEÑ
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 1
TEC
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1978 |
LIG
3 - 2
NAC
65%
19%
16%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1978 |
IND
2 - 0
NAC
75%
15%
9%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 1978 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1978 |
NAC
2 - 0
LIG
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |