Nacional vs Vélez Sarsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 0
FEN
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
EST
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 2
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vélez Sarsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
VEL
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VEL
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
3 - 2
TIG
60%
23%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 2
NAC
54%
24%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
VEL
23%
26%
51%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |