Copa Libertadores Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 2-8
Nacional vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PEÑ
3 - 2
NAC
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
IVT
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
BOS
0 - 1
NAC
21%
26%
53%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
IVT
0 - 0
NAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
ARG
71%
19%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
3 - 1
GOD
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 0
ATP
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CEN
0 - 2
RIV
21%
23%
56%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |