Nacional vs Bella Vista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
9.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1992 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
NAC
44%
29%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
NAC
46%
29%
25%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
NAC
0 - 1
SAO
53%
28%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1992 |
CCP
1 - 1
NAC
42%
29%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1991 |
COR
4 - 1
BVS
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1991 |
FLA
1 - 1
BVS
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
0 - 3
NAC
25%
26%
49%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1991 |
BVS
1 - 1
COR
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1991 |
BVS
2 - 2
FLA
41%
24%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |