Nacional vs Boston River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
8º
1º
7
5º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 14 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 11 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 10 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
7 | 7 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 0
CSM
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
DAN
0 - 6
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
JUN
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
CEL
0 - 4
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
LFC
47%
24%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Boston River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOS
1 - 2
DAN
50%
25%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 1
CSM
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 0
CER
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 0
BOS
52%
23%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 2
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |