Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
0 - 1
NAC
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 0
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
2 - 2
BVS
75%
16%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1992 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1993 |
BVS
2 - 1
BSC
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
4 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1993 |
BSC
2 - 0
BVS
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1993 |
NAC
1 - 0
BSC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |