Nacional vs Barcelona SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
NAC
2 - 2
PEÑ
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
0 - 0
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
58%
21%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 0
QUI
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
BSC
1 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
BSC
0 - 2
PEÑ
41%
25%
34%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1969 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
EME
54%
20%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |