Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 1-5
Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2001 |
SLO
1 - 1
NAC
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2001 |
JWI
1 - 2
NAC
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
CON
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2001 |
NAC
1 - 0
SLO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2001 |
TAC
0 - 2
AME
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2001 |
VAS
4 - 1
AME
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2001 |
AME
0 - 3
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2001 |
AME
2 - 1
PEÑ
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |