Copa Libertadores Semi-finals
Global 2-1
Nacional vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
2 - 1
NOB
54%
27%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1988 |
NOB
1 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
95%
3%
2%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
2%
26%
72%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1988 |
AME
2 - 0
OPE
74%
16%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1988 |
OPE
1 - 1
AME
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
UNI
2 - 2
AME
11%
32%
57%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
AME
1 - 0
UNI
76%
14%
10%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 1988 |
AME
0 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |