Nacional vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
4 - 0
GAR
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
NAC
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOS
67%
21%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
GAR
0 - 0
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -3 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
0 - 0
LFC
68%
20%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ATE
3 - 1
FEN
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
JUN
1 - 1
ATE
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
ATE
2 - 0
TOR
49%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
5 - 0
ATE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2018 |
CER
1 - 0
ATE
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |