Nacional vs Atenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
DAN
2 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIV
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2015 |
ETS
0 - 1
NAC
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 2
SUD
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
DEF
0 - 0
NAC
30%
26%
44%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
ATE
1 - 4
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MWA
1 - 2
ATE
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 2
ATE
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ATE
3 - 1
DAN
47%
27%
26%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
RIV
2 - 5
ATE
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |