Nacional vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
1 - 0
EME
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
3 - 0
JWI
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
NAC
4 - 1
MUN
85%
10%
6%
|
80 | 23 | 57 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1966 |
JWI
0 - 0
NAC
42%
23%
35%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
2 - 3
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
OCT
73%
15%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 2
JWI
50%
20%
30%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
3 - 4
MUN
88%
8%
4%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
2 - 3
NAC
39%
23%
38%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1966 |
OCT
1 - 2
PEÑ
43%
23%
34%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |