Nacional MG vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 60 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
13%
20%
67%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | +6 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
14 | 54 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
0 - 0
BOA
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
TOM
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
TOM
1 - 1
CAL
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 2
TOM
94%
5%
1%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | +3 |