Nacional MG vs Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
57.2%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 2
GUA
13%
20%
67%
|
12 | 47 | 35 | +7 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
CAL
2 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
12 | 53 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAC
93%
6%
1%
|
13 | 84 | 71 | -1 |
Matches
Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
2 - 1
AMF
8%
15%
77%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MIN
1 - 2
BOA
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
MIN
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
MIN
67%
20%
13%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
37 | 84 | 47 | +1 |