Nacional MG vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
13.8%
81.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
17.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
23.8%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 1
NAC
85%
12%
4%
|
21 | 65 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
TOM
13%
20%
67%
|
20 | 54 | 34 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
TUP
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
MIN
21%
22%
57%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
NAC
78%
15%
7%
|
19 | 59 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
CRZ
4 - 0
MIN
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 39 | 47 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
5 - 1
UCH
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 3
CRZ
11%
22%
68%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRZ
44%
25%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |