CD Nacional de Madrid vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
VAD
2 - 1
NAM
61%
19%
20%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
NAM
3 - 0
USC
71%
16%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
NAM
5 - 1
SPO
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +3 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
CEL
5 - 2
NAM
87%
8%
5%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
DEP
2 - 2
NAM
64%
18%
18%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1936 |
ZAR
4 - 0
SPO
67%
17%
17%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
CEL
2 - 1
ZAR
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1936 |
ZAR
3 - 1
DEP
81%
11%
7%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 1
ZAR
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1935 |
ZAR
6 - 1
USC
85%
10%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |