CD Nacional de Madrid vs Real Avilés Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.3%
23%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Nacional de Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
ZAR
3 - 0
NAM
83%
10%
6%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
NAM
0 - 1
VAD
48%
21%
31%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
USC
3 - 4
NAM
58%
19%
23%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAM
78%
13%
9%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
NAM
5 - 1
CEL
33%
23%
44%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Real Avilés Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 4
SPO
36%
23%
42%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1935 |
CEL
6 - 3
AVI
87%
8%
5%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 0
DEP
52%
20%
28%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 1935 |
AVI
2 - 1
USC
57%
19%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1935 |
ZAR
6 - 0
AVI
85%
10%
5%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | 0 |