Nacional EC MG vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
FRI
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NEC
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 2
VOL
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
1 - 0
ARA
43%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
VOL
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |