Nacional EC MG vs Tupi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
4 - 0
AME
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
2 - 1
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
2 - 1
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TUP
1 - 1
AMF
22%
24%
54%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
TUP
56%
24%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
TUP
0 - 0
CAL
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
TUP
37%
25%
38%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |