Nacional EC MG vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 1
NEC
52%
25%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 0
ARA
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 2
NEC
47%
24%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOA
33%
25%
42%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
AME
3 - 2
NEC
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VOL
0 - 0
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
FRI
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AMF
0 - 4
GUA
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
AME
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAL
40%
25%
35%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |