Nacional EC MG vs Guarani MG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
23.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAL
2 - 0
NEC
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 5
AMF
17%
20%
63%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 4
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
48 | 83 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 1
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 3
BOA
44%
25%
32%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 4
ATM
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOA
0 - 0
GUA
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CRZ
0 - 1
GUA
89%
8%
2%
|
45 | 83 | 38 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 2
VIL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 0
GUA
51%
24%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -1 |