Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 2-2
Nacional EC MG vs CRAC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 2
VOL
52%
24%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 0
NEC
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
FRI
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
0 - 1
NEC
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 1
NEC
50%
25%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CRAC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
3 - 2
SOB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
APA
1 - 2
CRA
45%
24%
32%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CRA
4 - 2
CEN
45%
26%
30%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 0
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
CEI
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |