Nacional EC MG vs Atl. Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
73.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional EC MG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
2 - 1
TUP
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AMF
1 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NEC
4 - 0
AME
43%
24%
33%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
TOM
1 - 0
NEC
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NEC
0 - 0
VIL
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
AME
0 - 2
ATM
7%
15%
78%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
5 - 2
AMF
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2013 |
STR
1 - 2
ATM
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
STR
69%
18%
13%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ATM
3 - 1
GUA
89%
9%
2%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |