Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Last 16
Global 1-3
Nacional de Patos vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
POT
0 - 0
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
3 - 1
IGU
48%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
PRI
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
FER
11%
23%
66%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
FPI
0 - 2
FER
19%
25%
56%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FER
6 - 1
COR
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
TOC
1 - 1
FER
20%
26%
55%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |