Nacional de Patos vs CSP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
POM
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
CAM
1 - 0
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
SER
1 - 1
NAC
15%
20%
66%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 0
NAC
76%
16%
7%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CSP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 2
TRE
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
CSP
0 - 2
SER
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SPC
0 - 3
CSP
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
CSP
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
CSP
1 - 2
POM
44%
23%
32%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |