Nacional de Patos vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
73.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
15%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.3%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 0
NAC
58%
24%
18%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
NAC
82%
13%
5%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
BOT
11%
21%
69%
|
32 | 62 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2019 |
ECP
1 - 3
NAC
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 4
ATL
28%
25%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
0 - 0
BOT
19%
22%
59%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 0
SPC
82%
12%
6%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
15 - 0
SPB
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 23 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
BOT
5 - 0
ASS
85%
12%
3%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TRE
2 - 2
BOT
15%
27%
59%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |