Nacional de Patos vs Auto Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPC
1 - 0
NAC
31%
22%
47%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TRE
42%
26%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Jan. 2023 |
SER
2 - 0
NAC
9%
14%
78%
|
37 | 8 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
3 - 0
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
BOT
14%
24%
63%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Auto Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 2
CSP
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 2
AUT
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
AUT
1 - 1
QUE
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2022 |
AUT
0 - 1
SER
80%
13%
7%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
AUT
10%
16%
74%
|
33 | 7 | 26 | 0 |