Nacional de Patos vs Atlético Cajazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
44.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional de Patos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 1
PER
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2020 |
PER
0 - 1
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
TRE
22%
24%
53%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
SCL
2 - 3
NAC
12%
17%
72%
|
33 | 12 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cajazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
SPC
38%
25%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
TRE
4 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 0
ATL
44%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAL
27%
28%
45%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
ATL
2 - 2
FLO
34%
27%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |