Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
16.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
LIB
1 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
JLM
56%
25%
20%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
12O
1 - 2
NAC
41%
28%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 2
RES
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CCP
1 - 0
NAC
49%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
AME
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 4
OLI
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2022 |
LIB
3 - 0
TAC
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 0
JLM
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
12O
2 - 0
TAC
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |