Nacional vs Tacuary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
RÑU
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
IND
3 - 1
NAC
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
LQE
73%
19%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CCP
1 - 3
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 1
AME
68%
21%
11%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 0
IND
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCP
24%
27%
49%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
LQE
2 - 2
TAC
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
AME
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
TAC
4 - 0
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |