Nacional vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
12º
3º
27
4º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
NAC
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
JLM
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AME
2 - 0
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 1
SPT
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 2
LQE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
SPT
22%
23%
55%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPT
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |