Nacional vs Sportivo Trinidense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
GUA
3 - 2
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 0
EST
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
LQE
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 1
NAC
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sportivo Trinidense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 4
OLI
22%
25%
54%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 0
SPT
60%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
IND
0 - 2
SPT
57%
25%
19%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SPT
0 - 0
AME
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
GEN
38%
27%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |