Nacional vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 0
NAC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 0
GEN
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 2
LQE
48%
26%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
2 - 2
OLI
6%
15%
79%
|
63 | 86 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
12O
1 - 0
SPO
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 1
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
CCP
4 - 1
SPO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 2
LIB
16%
23%
61%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | 0 |