Nacional vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
NAC
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
DEP
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
RÑU
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
OLI
1 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
3 - 4
GUA
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 5
OLI
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 0
SPO
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 1
AME
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |