Nacional vs Sportivo Luqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
2º
6º
3º
9
4º
11º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 41 |
1º
|
61.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 36 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
19 | 34 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
18 | 33 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
16 | 31 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 31 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 29 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 29 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 28 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
9 | 24 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 23 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 19 |
12º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
12% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
88% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
2DE
1 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
AME
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
LIB
1 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
SPT
39%
26%
34%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Luqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
CCP
4 - 0
LQE
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JLM
0 - 0
LQE
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
LQE
2 - 6
SPT
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |